Nba Season Betting Odds

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SuperBook opens 2020-21 NBA Win Totals

The 2020-21 NBA regular season is expected to start on Tuesday Dec. 22 and this year's campaign will be a 72-game schedule, opposed to 82 games.

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook took notice of the news and opened their NBA Win Totals betting market for all 30 teams in the league.

2020-21 NBA Contenders

  • Milwaukee Bucks 49.5
  • Los Angeles Lakers 46.5
  • Boston Celtics 45.5
  • Los Angeles Clippers 45.5

Of the above four teams, the Los Angeles Lakers were the only one to participate in last year's NBA Finals as they defeated the Miami Heat at the NBA Bubble from Orlando, Florida.

2020-21 NBA Pretenders

  • Detroit Pistons 23.5
  • Oklahoma City Thunder 22.5
  • New York Knicks 22.5
  • Cleveland Cavaliers 22.5

Going .500 in this year's regular season would translate to a 36-36 record and the clubs listed above aren't expected to get nowhwere near that record. Coincidentally, all four of these teams are from the Eastern Conference.

Eastern Conference - 2020-21 Win Totals Odds

Listed below are teams from the Eastern Conference and how the oddsmakers project they'll do based on wins for 2020-21 NBA regular season.

The top eight teams in each conference will make the postseason.

  1. Milwaukee Bucks 49.5
  2. Boston Celtics 45.5
  3. Brooklyn Nets 45.5
  4. Philadelphia 76ers 45.5
  5. Miami Heat 44.5
  6. Toronto Raptors 41.5
  7. Indiana Pacers 39.5
  8. Atlanta Hawks 36.5
  9. Washington Wizards 32.5
  10. Orlando Magic 31.5
  11. Chicago Bulls 30.5
  12. Charlotte Hornets 25.5
  13. Detroit Pistons 23.5
  14. New York Knicks 22.5
  15. Cleveland Cavaliers 22.5

The oddsmakers at the SuperBook believe that only seven teams in the Eastern Conference will finish the 2020-21 NBA regular season above .500 (36-36).

Looking at the projections, seven teams appear to be locks to gain a playoff spot while four others (Wizards, Magic, Bulls) will fight for the eighth and final spot.

And then there are the Pretenders listed above.

Western Conference - 2020-21 Win Totals Odds

Listed below are teams from the Western Conference and how the oddsmakers project they'll do based on wins for 2020-21 NBA regular season.

The top eight teams in each conference will make the postseason.

  1. Los Angeles Lakers 46.5
  2. Los Angeles Clippers 45.5
  3. Denver Nuggets 44.5
  4. Dallas Mavericks 42.5
  5. Utah Jazz 42.5
  6. Portland Trail Blazers 41.5
  7. Phoenix Suns 38.5
  8. Golden State Warriors 36.5
  9. New Orleans Pelicans 36.5
  10. Houston Rockets 34.5
  11. Memphis Grizzlies 30.5
  12. San Antonio Spurs 29.5
  13. Sacramento Kings 27.5
  14. Minnesota Timberwolves 28.5
  15. Oklahoma City Thunder 22.5

Of the three divisions in the Western Conference, the Pacific Division is expected to be the most competitive in the NBA 2020-21 regular season. The Lakers (46.5) and Clippers (45.5) are expected to surpass 40 wins. The Warriors were dealt a serious blow in November as star shooter Klay Thompson was lost for the season with an Achilles' tendon tear as their win total dropped to 36.5. The Suns (38.5) have been given a tad more respect after their recent effort in the NBA Bubble last summer and the acquisition of veteran guard Chris Paul.

Seven of the 15 teams in the West are expected to finish better than .500 by the oddsmakers.

How do I read the over/under line?

For example, the Milwaukee Bucks' win total for 2020-21 season is 49.5. If you believe the Bucks will finish 49-23 or worse, taking the 'under' is the play. For 'over' bettors, the Bucks would have to finish with 50-plus wins to cash tickets.

NBA Win Totals are available for all 30 teams in the league and placing 'over/under' wagers on their season production in the regular season is a great way to follow a team all season.

For the 2020-21 regular season, all teams must play 72 regular season games for the NBA Win Total wagers to be considered live wagers or what's known in the industry as 'Action.' The NBA Win Totals Odds set do not include postseason games.

Unfortunately due to the Coronavirus pandemic, bettors with active Win Total wagers could see their bets refunded since the regular season may not return or be reduced. At the same time, losing wagers will also be refunded.

2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds

Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds in both Ascending and Alphabetical order.

2020-21 NBA Win Totals (Ascending Order)
Milwaukee Bucks49.5
Los Angeles Lakers46.5
Boston Celtics45.5
Los Angeles Clippers46.5
Brooklyn Nets 45.5
Denver Nuggets 44.5
Miami Heat44.5
Philadelphia 76ers 44.5
Dallas Mavericks42.5
Toronto Raptors41.5
Utah Jazz42.5
Portland Trail Blazers 41.5
Indiana Pacers 39.5
Phoenix Suns38.5
Atlanta Hawks 36.5
Golden State Warriors 36.5
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5
Houston Rockets 34.5
Orlando Magic31.5
Memphis Grizzlies30.5
Chicago Bulls30.5
Washington Wizards32.5
Sacramento Kings27.5
San Antonio Spurs29.5
Minnesota Timberwolves28.5
Charlotte Hornets 25.5
Detroit Pistons 23.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 22.5
Cleveland Cavaliers22.5
New York Knicks22.5

2020-21 NBA Win Totals (Alphabetical Order)
Atlanta Hawks36.5
Boston Celtics45.5
Brooklyn Nets45.5
Charlotte Hornets25.5
Chicago Bulls30.5
Cleveland Cavaliers22.5
Dallas Mavericks42.5
Denver Nuggets44.5
Detroit Pistons23.5
Golden State Warriors36.5
Houston Rockets34.5
Indiana Pacers39.5
Los Angeles Clippers45.5
Los Angeles Lakers46.5
Memphis Grizzlies30.5
Miami Heat44.5
Milwaukee Bucks49.5
Minnesota Timberwolves28.5
New Orleans Pelicans36.5
New York Knicks22.5
Oklahoma City Thunder22.5
Orlando Magic31.5
Philadelphia 76ers45.5
Phoenix Suns38.5
Portland Trail Blazers41.5
Sacramento Kings27.5
San Antonio Spurs29.5
Toronto Raptors41.5
Utah Jazz42.5
Washington Wizards32.5

SuperBook NBA Win Totals Rules

  • Teams Must Play at least 69 and no more than 72 regular season games for action
  • Forfeitures are deemed a non-played game
  • Wagers do not include any Play-In Tournament or Postseason Games

2020-21 NBA Most Regaular-Season Wins Odds

Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds.

2020-21 NBA Most Wins Odds
Milwaukee Bucks+300
Los Angeles Lakers+450
Brooklyn Nets+550
Los Angeles Clippers+550
Boston Celtics +1000
Miami Heat +1000
Denver Nuggets+1000
Philadelphia 76ers +1000
Toronto Raptors+2000
Dallas Mavericks+2500
Utah Jazz+2500
Portland Trail Blazers +5000
Indiana Pacers +8000
Phoenix Suns+10000
Atlanta Hawks +25000
Golden State Warriors +25000
New Orleans Pelicans +25000
Houston Rockets +50000
Orlando Magic+100000
Memphis Grizzlies+100000
Washington Wizards+100000
Chicago Bulls+150000
Minnesota Timberwolves+150000
San Antonio Spurs+150000
Sacramento Kings+200000
Charlotte Hornets +200000
Detroit Pistons +200000
Oklahoma City Thunder +200000
Cleveland Cavaliers+200000
New York Knicks+200000

2020-21 NBA Most Regaular-Season Losses Odds

Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Loss Totals Odds.

2020-21 NBA Most Loss Odds
Cleveland Cavaliers+325
New York Knicks+325
Detroit Pistons+400
Oklahoma City Thunder+400
Charlotte Hornets+900
Sacramento Kings+1000
Chicago Bulls+1800
Minnesota Timberwolves+1800
San Antonio Spurs +1800
Orlando Magic+5000
Washington Wizards+5000
Memphis Grizzlies+5000
Houston Rockets+15000
Atlanta Hawks+25000
Golden State Warriors+25000
New Orlean Pelicans+25000
Phoenix Suns +50000
Indiana Pacers+50000
Portland Trail Blazers+100000
Toronto Raptors+150000
Dallas Mavericks+150000
Utah Jazz+150000
Boston Celtics+200000
Miami Heat+200000
Philadelphia 76ers+200000
Denver Nuggets +200000
Brooklyn Nets+200000
Los Angeles Clippers+200000
Los Angeles Lakers+200000
Milwaukee Bucks+200000

Odds Subject to Change - Updated Tue., Dec. 22, 2020

Let’s face it, the Lakers are going to win the championship, Luka Doncic is going to be the MVP, and nobody else has a chance. Wagering money elsewhere is like using Benjamins as toilet paper.

Right? Well, maybe not.

Nba Season Betting Odds Ncaa Football

Lest we forget, two seasons ago LeBron James got injured and the Lakers’ season fell apart. Two years ago, the Golden State Warriors were favored to win it all again. Then the injury bug bit them in the Finals.

Not everything goes as planned.

Deal or no deal scratchcard. So take preseason prognostications with a grain of salt when trying to predict what will happen between now and mid-July. There are a bunch of good teams in both conferences who can make trades between now and March 25, so what any team’s roster looks like in late December and what it might look like in April are two entirely different things.

Also, there is the James Harden factor to consider when it comes to picking a championship favorite. If he stays in Houston, the Rockets are not all that bad now that they have a pair of accomplished bigs in DeMarcus Cousins and Christian Wood. If Harden gets dealt to Miami, maybe bettors will show a little more respect to the team that made it all the way to the NBA Finals last season.

Harden is a huge, huge game-changer if he changes teams, and the fact that he has never won a championship should not be held against him. With the right mix of players, he can emerge with a championship this summer. The big question is, where will he be playing?

Nba season betting odds

Nba Preseason Betting Odds

So avoid irrational exuberance when handicapping the NBA futures market as Tuesday night’s start of the season approaches. Things change. Didn’t 2020 teach all of us that? And what looks like a sure thing in December becomes a punch-yourself-in-the-head memory by springtime.

With those warnings in mind, let’s look at the two conferences and some of the more popular NBA futures markets.

ALSO READ: NBA Win Total Over/Unders: Bucks set the pace at 50.5 victories

Eastern Conference

The Brooklyn Nets are the most wagered-on team at practically every sportsbook – and with good reason. Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving are finally playing together, general manager Sean Marks has built a team that is two-deep at every position, and Steve Nash will be a player’s coach. Heck, he played against some of these players.

Nba Season Betting Odds

Brooklyn is +600 to win it all just about everywhere, while the Bucks are regarded a bit more strongly with championship odds of +500 to +550. The Nets have taken 23.49% of the bet count in the championship futures market at PointsBet, with the Lakers second at 20.3% and the Warriors (+2500) third at 6.7%, PointsBet spokesman Patrick Eichner said.

Then we have Miami, which took the Milwaukee Bucks apart in the playoffs and did fairly well against the Lakers in the Finals until their lack of experience started to show late in the series. For 2020-21, they lost Jae Crowder but gained Avery Bradley and Moe Harkless. They should be just about as good as they were last season, so their price of +2000 at PointsBet (as opposed to +1500 at DraftKings) is somewhat enticing.

Miami did not make the list of the top three teams wagered-on to win the title at FanDuel Sportsbook, spokesman Kevin Hennessy said – identifying the 76ers (21%), Lakers (15.5%) and Nets (14.7%) as the top three.

The Bucks swapped Eric Bledsoe for Jrue Holiday to appease Giannis Antetokounmpo, but they still have Khris Middleton – who has not shown up in the playoffs for two straight seasons. Their games against the Nets and Heat should serve as regular season litmus tests to see if more changes are needed before the trading deadline.

The Celtics and 76ers remain the best of the rest in the East, but keep an eye on the up-and-coming Atlanta Hawks – who have built a strong young nucleus of Trae Young, Clint Capela and John Collins. Atlanta also went out and added Bogdan Bogdanovic, Rajon Rondo and Danilo Gallinari. If the team meshes quickly, they offer the best value for dreamers – with odds of +10000 at every major sportsbook.

In the player award category, Doncic is the leading MVP candidate with odds that have steadily dropped and are now below 4-1, with Antetokounmpo as the consensus No. 2 choice as he goes for his third straight MVP award. But keep in mind that voters give considerable weight to teams that outperform expectations, and that is where an outlier candidate could have a chance. If, for instance, the Hawks finish with the most wins in the NBA (a +25000 proposition at BetMGM), it’ll likely be because of Young – who is on the board as an MVP candidate at odds ranging from +6000 at DraftKings and William Hill, to +8000 at BetMGM.

Nba Season Betting Odds Predictions

Picking an MVP candidate from Brooklyn is tricky because Irving and Durant will split the load, but Jayson Tatum in Boston (best odds are +2600 at FanDuel) and Joel Embiid in Philadelphia (best odds are +4000 at BetMGM) are value picks if either of those teams overachieve and compile the best record in the East.

In the Rookie of the Year race, winning is not as important as exceeding individual expectations, producing monster stat lines, and making Top Plays of the Week. LaMelo Ball of Charlotte is the favorite, mostly because of the lack of a better candidate. But it should be noted that Knicks rookie Obi Toppin has been drawing action, and point guard Immanuel Quickley started for New York on Friday night and was very impressive. He can be wagered at +5000 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Western Conference

Nba Season Betting Odds

After the offseason they had – adding Dennis Schroder, Montrezl Harrell and Marc Gasol – the Lakers are rightly the favorites to repeat as champions. If you are looking for someone to minimize their chances, you are looking in the wrong place. They are a beast … and we have seen nothing from the Clippers in the preseason to make us believe they are in the same class.

But as mentioned above, injuries happen. LeBron has a ton of miles on his odometer and it’s a safe bet that he doesn’t play all that much in the regular season. The Lakers may not enter the postseason as the top seed in the West.

Outside of LA, the Denver Nuggets had a 2-1 preseason and won their games by an average of 20.7 points per game, the Utah Jazz went 3-0 and won by an average of 17.6, and New Orleans went 2-0 and won by an average of 18 points.

Of those three teams, the Nuggets are the most highly regarded, with odds ranging from +1600 at FanDuel to +2500 at PointsBet to win the title. Utah is priced between +3000 at most places to +4000 at BetMGM, and Zion and the Pelicans are +7000 at most places but +8500 at FanDuel.

But bettors are still going hard on the Lakers, as was the case last season.

“Last season the Lakers received more handle and bets than any other team – on the way to their 17th championship as a franchise – and this season many bettors are predicting the purple and gold to repeat,” said Johnny Avello, DraftKings’ head of sportsbook operations. “Currently, 37% of handle and 26% of bets to win the NBA Finals are on the Lake Show, the most for any team despite a quick season start turnaround following their deep postseason. A healthy Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving have raised the Brooklyn Nets to the second overall rank for championship betting, taking 22% of handle and 15% of bets.”

Perhaps most surprising among MVP odds is how the books see Anthony Davis as more likely to win the award than LeBron, who led the league in assists last season and was quickly gaining ground on Antetokounmpo when the season was interrupted by the coronavirus pandemic. Most books have Davis as the third or fourth choice behind Doncic, Giannis and Steph Curry – with BetMGM the only major book to have LeBron (+800) more likely than Davis (+900). Curiously, Zion is priced at +3600 at FanDuel but +6600 at PointsBet and BetMGM.

Eastern Conference rookies are drawing the most wagering interest, especially Orlando’s Cole Anthony after he led all rookies in scoring during the preseason. James Wiseman, the overall No. 2 pick of the Golden State Warriors, has the lowest odds among West rookies – although the Warriors are making bettors fly blind. Coach Steve Kerr did not play Wiseman in any of Golden State’s three preseason games, so the first we may see of the lanky Chris Bosh clone could be at 7 p.m. EST Tuesday night when the Warriors open the season at Brooklyn. He has been practicing with the Warriors’ first unit, but the money is being placed on Ball at FanDuel, with the New Orleans rookie drawing 18.5% of the bet count – more than twice as much as the second choice, Toppin.

Jamal Murray of Denver has overtaken Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of Oklahoma City as the favorite to win Most Improved Player, his odds dropping to +1200 at most books with the exception of +1800 at FanDuel.

Nba Season Betting Odds College Bowl

This is an interesting category for Murray to be a mover, since one would assume he would be among the top MVP candidates following his extraordinary play in the NBA bubble when he went for 50 twice in the playoffs and 40 a pair of other times as Denver became the first team in NBA history to come back from a pair of 3-1 deficits.

This will be Murray’s fifth NBA season, and the expectation that has made him a Most Improved favorite is that his scoring average, which has been 18.2 and 18.5 the past two seasons, will take a quantum leap. The catch here is that what quantifies improvement for one voter may not resonate quite as much with a different voter.

And thus a player such as Christian Wood of the Rockets, who averaged just 13.1 points per game last season playing for his fifth team in five seasons, might make a spectacular leap under Stephen Silas in Houston – starring alongside center DeMarcus Cousins. The best price on Wood is +1400 at FanDuel and PointsBet. DraftKings has taken the most action on Michael Porter Jr. of the Denver Nuggets (15% of bets at +1600), with Williamson second in handle – 10%.

One interesting Western Conference team in the championship futures market is the Phoenix Suns, who just missed the playoffs after going 8-0 in the bubble.

Nba Season Betting Odds Ncaa Basketball

“While Phoenix had already raised expectations for 2020-21 and opened with a championship line of 70-to-1, the acquisition of ageless point god Chris Paul moved the Suns’ odds down to 40-to-1 at the start of camp,” Avello said. “The presence of Paul, if healthy, should create off-ball opportunities for (Devin) Booker along with lethal pick-and-roll combos with DeAndre Ayton. That has bettors intrigued.”

“Intrigued” is the word of the moment as the season gets set to tip off.

Just remember, what looks like sure thing in December will change multiple times over the course of the season.

2021 NBA title odds